As the 2024 U.S. presidential election draws closer, there’s one name that’s buzzing across headlines and dining tables alike – Donald J. Trump.
Whether you support him or not, it’s impossible to ignore the impact he’s had on American politics. With his recent indictments and rallies drawing both massive crowds and media attention, he’s undoubtedly a force to reckon with.
So, what are the odds of Trump winning again? Here, I give you TEN solid reasons why Trump could win and be very well be on his way back to the White House in 2024!
1. The Power of the Trump Base
Let’s start with Trump’s undeniable loyal base. Say what you will about Trump, but the man has a knack for rallying people around him. His support base has only grown more committed since his 2016 election victory.
These are the same people who attend his rallies wearing MAGA hats, waving flags, and even waiting hours in line to see him speak.
Unlike traditional Republican voters who may waver in their support, the Trump base is known for being fiercely loyal.
Even in recent polls, Trump’s approval within the Republican Party remains staggeringly high.
His followers see him as a fighter, someone willing to take on the establishment and media, and even the government itself when necessary.
This kind of unwavering support is rare, and it’s an edge that Trump’s competitors – both Republican and Democratic – just can’t seem to match.
2. Tough-on-Immigration Policy Appeals
Trump’s hardline stance on immigration remains a big factor. From building the border wall to proposing stricter immigration policies, Trump has consistently promised to prioritize national security.
This message resonates with many Americans, particularly those who live in border states and feel the impact of immigration policies firsthand.
His call to “Build the Wall” may have been controversial, but for his supporters, it was a symbol of his commitment to American safety and sovereignty.
As immigration continues to be a top issue for voters in 2024, Trump’s policies on the subject might very well work in his favor again.
3. Trump’s Economic Legacy
Donald Trump knows what’s good for American business because he has been a flourished businessman himself for 50 years!
It’s often said that voters vote with their wallets. Trump’s supporters argue that, during his first term, the U.S. economy experienced a boom with historically low unemployment rates and significant tax cuts.
While the COVID-19 pandemic slowed the economy, Trump’s team asserts that he was on track to keep growing jobs and lowering taxes.
Many voters still associate him with a strong economy, something they feel has been lacking under Biden.
Take a look at small business owners, for example. Under Trump, they enjoyed tax cuts and deregulations that made operations smoother and more profitable.
Trump is emphasizing the promise of economic growth once again, and with inflation and gas prices on everyone’s mind, that’s a pretty strong selling point.
4. He’s Capitalizing on Cultural Issues
In the past decade, political focus has increasingly moved toward cultural battles—issues surrounding free speech, social justice, gender roles, and other hot-button topics.
Trump has repeatedly shown that he’s willing to jump into these cultural battles without hesitation.
From his stances on border control to vocal criticisms of “woke” policies, he’s become the figurehead for those who feel these issues are threatening traditional American values.
For voters who feel disenfranchised by what they see as overreach in cultural issues, Trump’s bold stance on these topics feels like a refreshing return to their beliefs.
Unlike many politicians who skirt around these issues, Trump dives right in, positioning himself as a protector of their ideals.
5. Media and Establishment Opposition Plays in His Favor
Trump’s battles with the media and “establishment” figures have only amplified his popularity among certain groups.
Every time a new story comes out that paints Trump negatively, his supporters see it as more evidence that he’s fighting against a corrupt system.
The ongoing indictments and investigations are seen not as deterrents but as “proof” that the system fears him.
For his base, Trump’s willingness to go head-to-head with powerful institutions and mainstream media makes him a hero.
It’s this “outsider” image – even after serving as president – that makes him relatable to a large portion of Americans who are frustrated with politics as usual.
6. Biden’s Approval Ratings Are Low
President Biden’s approval ratings haven’t been spectacular, and if they stay that way, it might give Trump an edge.
Issues like inflation, rising gas prices, and economic instability have hurt Biden’s popularity among the general public.
For many Americans, the memory of Trump’s strong economy is still fresh, and they may be more inclined to give him a second chance if they feel Biden hasn’t delivered.
Even among Democratic voters, enthusiasm for Biden is relatively lukewarm, especially compared to the excitement that Trump generates within his own base.
If Biden struggles to mobilize Democrats, Trump’s dedicated supporters might just be enough to tip the scales in his favor.
7. A Return to “Normal” Promises Stability
For Trump supporters, the Biden years have felt like a step backward, especially when it comes to issues like inflation, rising crime rates, and a perceived lack of decisive leadership.
Trump’s appeal, for many, lies in his promises to bring America “back to greatness” and reestablish a kind of pre-pandemic, pre-political-turmoil stability.
Many voters may be feeling like a vote for Trump in 2024 could signal a return to what they see as a more stable and prosperous America.
In fact, after turbulent years of economic and social disruptions, people tend to gravitate toward leaders they think will restore order.
FDR in the Great Depression, Reagan in the economic troubles of the late 1970s, and even Obama following the 2008 financial crash all capitalized on a national desire for “normalcy.”
Trump could benefit from a similar sentiment among the electorate.
8. Global Recognition and Influence
Whether you’re a Trump fan or not, you can’t deny his global recognition.
The “Trump brand” is recognizable worldwide. His policies and personality have gained supporters even beyond American borders.
Interestingly, Trump has found support among people in countries like Pakistan, Iran and Saudi Arabia, especially among conservative groups who admire his straightforwardness and foreign policy approaches.
On that note, in Pakistan, followers of Imran Khan (the jailed PM) support Trump. Believing Trump to be a stronger, more reliable leader than Biden; one who is willing to make bold decisions and engage with world leaders directly.
For instance, his visit to Saudi Arabia early in his presidency – marked by the famous sword dance and extravagant ceremonies – left an impression of respect and partnership that still resonates with some in the region.
9. The “Law-and-Order” Platform
Finally, Trump has capitalized on the rising concerns about crime and public safety.
As cities grapple with increased crime rates, the issue of law and order has moved to the forefront of American politics. Trump has consistently portrayed himself as the candidate who will “restore order” and empower law enforcement.
Many voters remember his response to the Black Lives Matter protests and his stance on policing.
While his approach was divisive, it struck a chord with Americans who want to see stricter policies to curb crime.
As this issue becomes more prominent, Trump’s tough stance on law and order could be an attractive option for undecided voters concerned about public safety.
10. Strategic Use of Social Media and Messaging
Despite bans on certain social media platforms, Trump’s team is masterful when it comes to media strategy.
From his rallies to his email newsletters and his growing presence on alternative social media sites, Trump’s communication machine is constantly working.
His team knows how to leverage these channels to energize the base, spread campaign messages, and target undecided voters.
Trump’s communication style, often direct and unfiltered, has historically resonated with a broad swath of the American public.
And by speaking in a way that feels accessible rather than scripted, Trump taps into a form of communication that’s unusual in American politics but incredibly effective in mobilizing voters.
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(Read: The Undertaker Endorsed Donald Trump? Hell Yes!!)
The Final Word
So, what are the odds of Trump winning in 2024?
Considering his loyal base, economic legacy, strong stances on immigration and crime, and the influence he commands on the global stage, they’re actually pretty high.
Add to that a bit of support from unexpected places, particularly the Muslim World, like UAE, Iran, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia, and it becomes clear that Trump’s candidacy isn’t just about American politics – it’s about his ability to sway minds both at home and abroad.
As with any election, it’s impossible to predict with certainty, but Donald Trump’s unique mix of resilience, influence, and support from a devoted following makes his campaign one of the most formidable in recent history.
And if 2016 taught us anything, it’s to expect the unexpected when it comes to Trump. The 2024 US election might just be his comeback tour!
